DescentBB

callmeslick wrote:Time will tell if misplaced......

While it is looking bad for Drumpf, there is still a chance he can even out the numbers a bit. With three months to go all he has to do is dial it down a little and show noticeable restraint and his numbers will pick up. Maybe not enough to overcome Mrs Clinton, but enough to aggravate some Democrats.

I see where Trump is now endorsing Ryan so maybe he is learning...

or perhaps bitchslapped by reality.

Isn’t that the same thing.

Slick is always looking for a angle to denigrate Trump.

I mentioned this one, to the ever-hopeful Woodchip. Let's put it back up here for easy access, should he take my advice.
Bayersian likelihood approaching 90% for Clinton.

I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.

You're placing am awful lot of trust in something started 12 years ago. So they been thru 2 presidential cycles. Whoopdedo.

reality check bump

Yeah, I see Hillary Clinton is down to a 2.4 lead in RCP. Quite the drop from the 8 pt lead in Aug.

watch and wait. Your boy is ALREADY whining about the debates. Why?

callmeslick wrote:I bump this extremely accurate(historically) analysis merely because it now shows something I've never seen before, even a week or two out. Both random drift(chance events taken to extreme extrapolation) and Bayersian(more like range of drift) probabilities show Hillary over 90%. Bayersian is at 96%. They didn't even show that on Election eve in 2004, 2008 or 2012.

Are you willing to bet at those odds?

8-1? Yup.

this now stands at a 93% chance of a Clinton victory. Watch it move to 99% in the course of the weekend.

up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1

All aboard the failtrain!

Oh man, the RCP spread is now comfortably outside of the margin of error. Let's just get this over already.

callmeslick wrote:up to 96%. And, the Donald is getting prepared to make excuses and not show up in Vegas:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ ... li=BBnbcA1

Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.

Ferno wrote:Is it november yet? honestly, I'm getting worn out from all the insanity that is the 2016 general US election.

Just make a habit of cleverly derailing every election thread into something you find more interesting! For instance, this thread can be about histograms in general. Or maybe we shouldn't even be using histograms at all in this case? Is there a better tool displaying similar collections of data?

bump, for all to see that the Histogram is now a staggering 97% for Clinton.

well, folks, we've hit 99%

callmeslick wrote:100% Baye[r]sian

heh, so excited you spelled it wrong.

and in red, to boot!!! Won't edit.

And your histogram has proven to be the piece of junk science that it is.