Ford Prefect wrote:How do you account for those born with defects so that their account never has a chance to go into positive territory? And I suppose that those with no income would have to have their account paid into by government or be handled the same way that they are now by Medicare.
Those born with defects would presumably be covered by their parents accounts. But yes, there would be people with incomes so low that they required charity or some other program to assist in their coverage. The medical savings account idea isn't perfect, but I think it's a move in the right direction. And be reducing medical cost in general, it would help EVERYONE, even those who fell through the gaps.
Ford Prefect wrote:If 4% of the users cost you 50% of the cost of health care then it would appear that catastrophic illness is your major expense anyway and so as the population ages your umbrella fund would be stressed just as Medicare and Medicaid will be.
Not AS stressed. If you've greatly reduced the non catastrophic medical expenses, and probably reduced the cost of catastrophic care somewhat as well, you've reduced the stress on the entire system. It's a step in the right direction, whereas socializing healthcare takes us towards MORE red tape and MORE expense.
Ford Prefect wrote:As the wealthiest country in the world I don't actually accept your statement that you can't afford the coming cost of health care. I just don't think you are willing to be taxed to pay.
Everyone seems very willing to tell the U.S. how to spend all of it's money.
Yes I AM unwilling to pay more taxes. Heck, I'm unwilling to pay the taxes I'm already paying. But that's beside the point. We are dealing with three serious issues here that have a consequence I don't think most people are grasping.
Issue 1: If you had a catastrophic illness in the year 1800, about the most expensive thing you could end up paying for was a round the clock nurse and a lot of doctor visits. There just wasn't that much else they could do. But now, every year the limit of what "CAN" be done goes up. Now it's quite possible to blow a million dollars working on someone with a catastrophic illness. In some cases that treatment will actually restore them to health, but in many cases it is just prolonging their death. It's an ethical dilemma because we still feel that if we CAN help, we should, no matter what the cost. And the cost keeps going up every year. Getting rid of inefficiency and corruption can help with this, but it won't stop the general trend.
Issue 2: We are extending the lifespan. Considerably. The average life expectancy in the U.S. in 1900 was 47 years, it is now around
77 years. That means people spend longer and longer in the "retirement" zone now. And because of the idiocy of Social Security, most retired people do not have enough savings to live on, they must live off of the "pay as you go" system, which means the current taxes of the current wage earners.
Issue 3: There are just a gosh awful lot MORE Baby Boomers than there are anyone else. And those boomers are about to retire. They will stop earning wages, and start collecting social security, Medicare, Medicaid, and whatnot.
Put together, these three issues: increased cost of what is medically possible, increased lifespan, and increased retired population; spell disaster.
It's not just a matter of raising the tax rate on everyone. It's a matter of MANY more people going onto the side of the ledger that draws out more from taxes than they put in. Fewer wager earners paying more and more taxes to try and support an increasingly elderly society.
If we had planned for this properly 30 years ago, if we had money set aside, we could get through it. But Social Security is bankrupt, Medicare and Medicaid are falling apart, and the government has shown no signs whatsoever of reversing the trend of spending more money than they have. I think they have waited to long. In just a few years they will realize that they simply do not HAVE enough wage earners to support the non wage earning population. Then things are going to get nasty. Especially since the non wage earning population will outvote the wage earners.
Ford Prefect wrote:I guess there is always the fall back of opening the doors to immigration so that the newcomers take up the tax burden as they take over the position of creators and consumers of wealth.
That WOULD be an excellent solution. I am in favor of open borders, just so long as the people coming over do it legally and agree to become citizens.