woodchip wrote:
Neville Chamberlain tried that approach and failed. What finally did work was beating the Germans so bad they surrendered.
The Japanese didn't even try to negotiate with us prior to Pearl Harbor (Cuda can clarify this). What brought about a lasting peace though was beating them so badly they too surrendered.
For decades the Us and Russia fought a cold war and negotiated endlessly. Russia finally surrendered when we broke Russia's economic back.
For years we and the world negotiated with Saddam Hussein. He finally surrendered when we pulled him out of a rat hole.
We lost in Vietnam because we tried to negotiate our way out out.
There is a North Korea because a settlement was negotiated to end the Korean war.
Starting to see a pattern here?
Yes I see the pattern - and for the record you're right (as are you Will) in that there are *many* examples of Peace being brokered without dialogue first. I wrote that comment before I thought about it at length - so I withdraw that statement as it's clearly erronious.
That being said, most of the examples you site Woodchip were examples of peace being established only after extended and violent conflict costing the lives of many thousands of combatants on both sides (not to mention civilian casualties). Hardly the ideas way to accheive peace (Combat is a reality of human existance and will be for as far as I can see. Combat in my opinion is also entered into far too quickly and far too often.) You can't easily negotiate with madmen, granted - but that doesn't mean you're insane if you attempt it.
As for the cold war between the US and Russia being being ended by Russia surrendering whe the US 'broke its back economically' ... no offense Woodchip but I find that notion far too simplistic to be credible. It fails to fully recognise the internal forces that help brought about democratic reforms in the country.
(EDIT: TechPro beat me to the punch there!
)
Will Robinson wrote: How do you measure the 'atmosphere' being less hostile? You can site Obama's willingness to have dialog but that doesn't automatically translate to results. Clinton sent Albright to talk to the N Koreans and people lauded his dialog to be superior to Bush Sr. so the N.Koreans talked about not building nukes ....while they built them anyway and laughed at us about it later!
In the examples of continuing hostilities I listed I can't see any change in the dialog coming back from those parties since Obama took over the microphone and just look at the Russians, they got Obama to back down so do they lessen the rhetoric? No, now they see weakness and make more demands...
...No peace agreement has ever been established without one party surrendering to another first! If it has it has been a follow up agreement between allies from a previous war like NATO etc.
So you can highlight the dialog part of the process if you want to but it isn't necessarily the cause of the peace, more likely simply a formality to document the results of the hostility.
So you are telling me he is more interested in the talking part of the process. That is no surprise to me. He's proven to be full of that. And now he gets a once prestigious award for being good at talking about the desire to talk about it....
Make no mistake I'd love for him to earn the award for actually getting things done and it isn't his fault for receiving it prematurely but it sure does bring to the forefront his record so far. My guess is his ego is too large to wish they never gave it to him.
You've heard the old saying - live by the sword, die by the sword? Well this is a case of live by the hype, die by the hype.
How do I measure the 'atmosphere being less hostile?' ...it's a fair question you ask Will and I must admit, I measure it anecdotally (not the most fair method of assessing something - but not totally without validity).
Frankly Will, when I refer to their being a less hostile atmosphere towards the US, I'm talking about the environment right here in Australia!
I'm not anti-american by any stretch, and neither is my country. But I cannot remember any other time in my life when I heard or witnessed so much venom aimed towards the US - or seen so much shame at being involved in a war - as I did towards the final days of Bush's administration.
Put simply - I have never seen so many Australians - act in such an Un-Australian way - as they did towards Bush, his administration, the 'Coalition of the Willing', US foreign policy, the whole F****ing ball of wax.
You are entitled to have any opinion you wish of your current president. 'Quote him, disagree with him - sanctify or villify him.' Frankly I don't really care which, take him as you find him.
But many people hated Bush here - make no mistake about that; and I witnessed that hate spill over into an overall antipathy towards North America and all things American.
Obama's overtures of peace and reconciliation towards enemies, friends and the indifferent alike have repaired your nation's standing amongst the Australian public, or at least by my assessment it has; Whatever Obama's flaws are, you can't take that away from him. Whether that can be *maintained* or not, I cannot say.
...And if Obama *is* just another bombastic politician full of empty promises - well I'm sure american voters will know just what to do about that