Will Robinson wrote: Two questions:
1) In all your years in maintenence of a plant how often did commodity traders instruct someone to "shut it down".
During the 90's, utilities were de-regulated to allow 'transmission access' - generally speaking, if somebody wants to sell power to a utility and needs to use your transmission grid to deliver the power, then you have to let them. This move opened up an electric wholsesale market There were also 'idependent power producers' who built there own generators to sell power on the open market. A number of brokering/trading companies started who operated like a commodities market. That's some background.
As to the remarks by the trader- it was an extremely stupid question. If that guy didn't know how long it takes to cycle a steam unit, then he was most uninformed. Another thing, not only is it time consuming to do so, it's also extremely expensive to hire extra crews to get a steam plant started. It's also extra wear and tear on the equipment. The more I think about it, the less sense that little snippet of conversation makes. And presumably they knew they were being recorded. In the control center where I worked, everything was recorded in case there was a dispute over a transaction.
Will Robinson wrote:
I can't think of any context in which that statement could be the result of an innocent act *if* it was said by a trader.
As I said earlier, if the unit was experiencing some technical problem that wasn't too serious, they might have taken it off line - even though doing so would have required the purchase of more expensive emergency power. In other words, if the previous statement had been, 'There's a problem at the steam plant, what should we do?', then the exchange would make more sense.
Will Robinson wrote:
2) as far as bonuses as incentive to keep it running well...do you suppose a bribe could be worth more than a bonus, and if so could that be a motive?
I realize I don't have all the facts but it sure is looking suspicious!
Yes, a bribe is possible. Yes, we don't have all the facts - at least about this incident. To me, there is no question that CA was taking on a lot of risk when they structured their utility policies. They just didn't have enough reserve capacity and got burned for it. It's like the US being so dependent on foreign oil. It's risky and a day might come when we regret it.