and the pendulum swings back

[callmeslick]

.....welcome to modern American politics:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the ... e-numbers/


remember, the same poll was at 38% in October. A 12 point swing is sort of startling.

[woodchip]

Wait until the larger than expect Obamacare penalties are levied and we'll see where the pendulum swings.

[callmeslick]

see where the support is coming and wait for him to aim tonights speech at the middle class of America. Where are these 'larger than expected' taxes'? Seriously, I've looked at my 2014 forms, setting up for filing, and see nothing shocking.

[callmeslick]

overnight polling results show the President receiving between 72-81% favorables on the State of the Union from registered voters. Shockingly positive, and I've read a total of 5 polls, none from overt political organizations(had to seek out more, since I doubted the first numbers I read). Even I'm surprised!

[Foil]

I assume those numbers are among those who watched the address? (That skews the resultant numbers, since more supporters than opponents tend to watch.)

[callmeslick]

I assume those numbers are among those who watched the address? (That skews the resultant numbers, since more supporters than opponents tend to watch.)

the higher ones, yes, and I agree. Didn't see the details on the lower range figures, but likely also. The one I looked at that had party demographics DID show significant Republican identifiers(CNN) and loads of Independents. What was sort of interesting was CNNs live-time opinion tracking. As would be expected, the GOP line was far below the DEM line, but what I found interesting was that the Independent line tracked far closer generally to the Dems than the GOP, which, were I a Republican strategist, would be worrisome.