Gooberman wrote:would it bother me if they were just trying to influence the "homophobes." Yes it would
Good to hear.
But it just isn't logically sound, where would the anti-gay people go, vote for Kerry? :roll: Or not vote (which they would know is basically a vote for Kerry)?
I agree with you, it isn't logically sound -- but I don't think Kerry understood this. I think he greatly overestimated the amount of homophobia in the Republican party, and greatly underestimated the overall desire we have for Bush to win regardless of his or Cheney's thoughts on homosexuality.
The reason I think this is reasonable is because, aside from you and a few others on this board (who I've discussed gay marriage and other issues with at length), most of the people I talk to on the left are under the impression that people on the right absolutely hate gays. It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Kerry was under this same impression. It wouldn't surprise me if Kerry thought he *could* get the homophobes to not vote.
All that is to say, I understand your objection to the "gay baiting" position, but I don't think Kerry would've agreed with you beforehand. In this case, I think you're far better informed on the attitudes of the right (at least on this issue) than Kerry and his advisors. And that makes sense to me, because Kerry seems to have misjudged the general attitudes of the right several times so far this cycle.
my decision to vote is completely separate from my decision on who to vote for. That is the way it works for almost everyone.
This would be an interesting thing to take a poll on. I would think people would be far more likely not to vote (or to make a protest vote -- a vote that's not really "for" anyone) if they don't have anyone they want to vote for. That is, I think the two decisions are pretty heavily tied together -- if there's someone they want to vote for, they'll vote, but if not, they're probably strongly split between staying home, making a protest vote, or voting for the guy they lean slightly toward. So, if you can take someone who had a definite desire to vote "for" someone, and take away that desire, that's probably worth about half a vote for you (between protest votes and staying home).
In particular, if someone was strongly religiously anti-gay (to the point where they think gay people should be shunned or worse) I could see them deciding they just *can't* vote for Bush/Cheney over this. I just happen to know that the number of people who are like this is a *very* small number -- but if you and I hadn't already discussed these issues, you might think I was like that, and overestimate the number of people like that.
If you can only get a few people to not vote, it's probably not worth the risk -- but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if Kerry expected to be able to take out at least a couple percent of Bush's base by making his remark. After all, if all you knew about me was I was Christian and against gay marriage, wouldn't you think I might be so homophobic as to not be able to vote for Cheney?
it "makes sense" that those on the left will believe that Bush just went to war for oil. It "makes sense" that Michael Moore can have a blockbuster documentary. It "makes sense" that the right is putting out a counter-movie to it. It "makes sense" that the rest of the world dislikes Bush. But that has absolutely nothing to do with the truth
Yes -- but in this case, it "makes sense", and furthermore, I haven't heard a very strong counter-explanation. Nobody -- from Kerry to you -- seems to have any idea why he chose to reference Mary Cheney instead of someone else, except for the hand-waving "well, it worked for Edwards" idea (even though the Kerry quote and the Edwards quote are remarkably different.) In the case of "war for oil" there is a reasonable counter-explanation ("war to get rid of Saddam"). The other 3 cases you cited do indeed demonstrate that people are biased... but I don't see why that matters. Yes, people are biased. What does that have to do with whether or not Kerry was gay-baiting?
It "makes sense" that Kerry was gay baiting -- and, as far as I can tell, it makes A LOT MORE sense than any other explanation.
Again, there's a big difference -- the Osama quote was being taken badly out of context....
Bush denied the "sentiment", that's not what he said. The "essence of his quote", what I quoted was direct copy/paste.
[Note that this section is relevant, not for its own sake, but in terms of how it relates to the next section of my post.]
Right, what you quoted was direct copy-paste, but it was stripped of
context. When it comes down to it, the way the Democrats (particularly
Kerry in the debate) are using the quote is as though Bush quit chasing Osama, like he no longer wanted to catch him -- but the way Bush intended it was that he was no longer particularly *afraid of* Osama because his power base was gone (note that he's answering a question about "the threat that bin Laden posed" not "where is Osama".) So of course Bush would deny having ever said what Kerry claims he said -- Kerry Dowdifies a quote and lies about the question it was a response to (notice what you said vs. what Kerry said in the debate vs. what Bush said in my link above.) Kerry's manufactured quote seems to imply Bush had lost focus, while the actual Bush quote you're giving is all about the fact that Osama is out of power and therefore not a huge threat.
Do you have any doubt that if you put this effort towards defending Kerry, you could explain this issue away immediately?
You mean, the effort to look up the original quote, and try to understand how it relates to the surrounding material?
That's what I did with the original Kerry quote, back in my response to BlueFlames. I did the same with the Edwards quote. That's why the Edwards quote doesn't concern me but the Kerry quote does -- because the Kerry quote, when viewed in context, looks like gay-baiting. The Bush quote, in context, isn't controversial... the Edwards quote, in context, isn't controversial... but the Kerry quote, in context, is controversial.
I'm not trying to "explain away" the quotes, I'm just trying to understand what was actually said. In the "not concerned about Osama" quotes, what Bush originally said was pretty sensible, and Kerry misrepresented it in the debates (in such a way that it wasn't really recognizeable.) There's no controversy there -- the original statement by Bush wasn't a "bad choice of words" by any stretch. In the Edwards quote, he's using Mary Cheney to highlight a policy difference, and again, there's no bad choice of words or any sign of malicious intent. There isn't any controversy over the Edwards quote -- when you look at what he's saying, it's immediately obvious how it fits into what he's talking about. But in the Kerry quote, it's not clear how referencing Mary Cheney fits into what he's talking about. At best, it's a really bad choice of an example -- but you have to wiggle quite a bit to dismiss the alternative "gay-baiting" explanation.
With the Bush quote and the Edwards quote, I don't have to wiggle or fudge at all -- just display the original context. Once I do that, the controversy completely falls away -- JUST by looking at the original statement in the original transcript. But with the Kerry quote, looking at the original transcript doesn't get rid of the controversy. Looking at Kerry's explanations after the fact doesn't get rid of the controversy. Listening to your response after the fact doens't get rid of the controversy. Adding Elizabeth Edwards' statements the next day makes it worse. That's why this controversy lasted for a week while the "Bush said he wasn't worried about Osama" controversy lasted for about 30 seconds -- when you actually do the research, there really is still a controversy here.
do you think the republican party, Even Dick and Mary Chaney, are absolutely thrilled to death that this is what is being focused on after those three debates?
I think the party, in general, has mixed feelings -- most people have some level of gladness that it bit Kerry, and some level of sadness that it happened in the first place and is being carried on. The Cheneys are probably less happy about it than the average Republican. I won't presume to compare how happy vs. offended they are, because I simply don't know.
arn't they just pro-gay baiting those on the left by pretending to be offended when they are probably delighted? Look how easy this is! :wink:
LOL... it is easy, when you give it such a surface-level treatment. But try digging deeper.
There might be a little pro-gay-baiting going on here. But most of what I've seen is simply Kerry bashing. The emphasis has all been on "Kerry did something boneheaded in trying to take advantage of a stereotype" rather than on actual homosexual issues that would draw your average pro-gay person into the discussion -- so the counter-baiting argument doesn't really hold water. If it did, I guarantee you wouldn't have been the first one I heard it from.
The amazing thing about all of this, is that Kerry said nothing offensive, and nothing that Mary Chaney has since denied.
The content of his statements wasn't offensive, I agree. But I think the intent of his statements -- using homophobia for political gain (and with it, the character assumptions Kerry made about the "religious right" in thinking we'd fall for it) -- was offensive. I'm glad to see it backfired, but if I've judged his intent even remotely right, it's still offensive.