Now, to Cops' question:
That's a doozy of a question. Not only is predestination vs. free will one of the larger theological puzzles in the history of Christianity, it's also one of THE biggest and most heated theological debates of the last few centuries. Probably in the top three. And you can add to that the fact that the question is a pretty big secular philosophy question, too. All of that is to say, there is no right and well-accepted answer that I can give you from either secular philosophy or Christian theology. It's the sort of question people have been arguing about for centuries and which everyone following the debate has at least five opinions on.
The question of predestination, from a Christian point of view, really centers on salvation. If you are saved, who is responsible: did you choose God, or did God choose you? There are problems either way. If salvation is your choice, then acquiring the right beliefs and following God becomes a sort of test you pass, after which you deserve heaven. But the idea of "deserving" heaven is completely at odds with the idea--at the very core of Christianity--that heaven is a free gift, given by God out of mercy and not at all deserved by those who receive it. On the other hand, though, if heaven is completely a free gift and salvation is something that God accomplishes without any choice on your part, it hardly seems fair for him to send some people to heaven and others to hell.
You will find all sorts of positions on this issue in the church, some more reasonable than others. The debate was really big in the 17th or 18th century, though, and that's where the extreme positions can be found.
On the one hand is Calvinism, which is usually expressed as consisting of five points.
Total depravity means man is completely unable to do anything to save himself.
Unconditional election means God chooses who will be saved completely freely and according to his will.
Limited atonement means Jesus' sacrifice on the cross covered only the sins of those who will be saved, not the sins of humanity in general.
Irresistible grace means that once God has chosen to save someone, there is nothing they can possibly do to avoid being saved.
Perseverance of the saints means that once someone is saved, they cannot revert and again become lost. The upshot of all of this is that man is
totally dependant on God, and if he is saved and goes to heaven, it is completely because God chose to have mercy on him, and not at all because he in any way, shape, or form did something to deserve it.
Calvinism doesn't come as a whole system all in one lump--a lot of people will accept different bits and pieces of it (so if you hear someone refer to themselves, say, as a four-point Calvinist, that means they accept four of those and reject one). The emphasis in Calvinism is on God's total sovereignty and power.
Calvinism began (surprise) with John Calvin in the early 1500's. It has some modern descendants, including the Presbyterians, the Reformed Churches, and some Baptists and Congregationalists.
At the opposite end of the spectrum is Armenianism, which says essentially that God desires for all men to be saved, but men have the free will to refuse the invitation. In opposition to Calvinism, men are able to save themselves by accepting God's invitation; God does not choose who will be saved; Jesus' sacrifice is universal; and Men can reject God's invitation. (I don't know if it teaches that salvation once gained can be lost--I think that might be a separate debate).
Arminianism is named for Jacob Arminius, who lived in the late 16th century, but it was mostly taught by John Wesley during the Awakening in the middle of the 18th century. In fact, the debate between George Whitefield (arguing for Calvinism) and John Wesley is well known: they were unable to come to terms on the subject, but remained good friends and in fact Wesley gave the sermon at Whitefield's funeral. A wonderful letter from Whitefield to Wesley arguing for Calvinism can be found
here. It is very good reading if you want a feel for the theological debate.
I don't know of any modern descendants of Armenianism. I think some of the Methodists might be, but I think Arminianism is generally regarded as a heresy these days. I could be wrong, though.
A lot of the church these days embraces bits and pieces of both positions. Most people will affirm that God chooses who he saves, but they will also affirm that people have a role in the process. I have heard it likened to a marriage--did you choose to marry him, or did he choose to marry you? Well.. both. The well known Christian apologist C.S. Lewis incorporates elements of Calvinism in his Chronicles of Narnia, when a character is told that that no one can call out to God unless God is already calling him first. But there is no harsh, overriding sense of destiny in his stories, and they are not at all shy about assigning moral value to following or not following God.
It is not all that uncommon of a scholastic view to embrace, not just some of one view or the other, but
all of
both views. Lothar occasionally refers to himself as "a five point Calvinist who believes in free will," a phrase I would also consider descriptive of myself, with a few caveats. Though the predestination and free will debate still rages in some parts of the church, and Lothar and I are in the minority, we're not alone--I was originally convinced of the position by my systematic theology textbook.
But before I give my view, let me give what I see as theological boundaries.
First, the Bible absolutely teaches that people make real choices, and those choices have moral value. God continually judges people for their wrong choices, celebrates their right choices, admonishes them and gives them advice, tells them how much he wishes they would do one thing or another. Very obviously, our choices are real to God and have real moral value. (I'm not quoting a reference here, because the reference is literally the whole book. This point is obvious from just about every story.)
Second, the Bible almost certainly teaches that God foreknows and even causes certain things. This point can be seen very clearly in Bible prophecy: if God tells the future, he obviously knows it. (There is a little leeway here--though my interpretation of scripture is that there is no limit to God's knowledge of the future, and I think that is most clearly what the Bible teaches, there are those who suppose that he has only a rough idea of the future and in some cases he is guessing and in others he is working to bring about what he promised in prophecy. I don't agree, but this view is not
completely out of bounds.)
But thirdly, and most interestingly, the Bible clearly teaches that God assigns moral value to actions he clearly forsees and (in some cases) even causes. Here are some specific examples:
In the New Testament, just before Jesus is killed, he gives a prophecy to Peter. He says that Peter will deny him three times before the night is over. Peter is adamant that he won't do that, saying, "Even if I have to die with you, I will not deny you." Later that night, Jesus is arrested by a mob, beaten, mocked and taken away to await trial. Peter follows along quietly, and is asked three times if he knows Jesus. Knowing that he too will be in trouble if he says yes, he loudly denies it each time--and then remembering what Jesus said goes away and cries bitterly. (The full story can be found in Matthew 26:34-75)
Jesus knew Peter would deny him. He knew it specifically--that is, he knew how many times he would do it--and he knew it long before Peter did. And yet this foreknowledge does not stop Peter's bitter tears. Though what he would do was foreknown, the choices were still real.
In the Old Testament, Israel is created as the people of God. The whole story of the old testament--Israel's unfaithfulness and wickedness, God's punishment, her repentance and return from exile can be read spread accross several books. It can also be read in a single chapter: God's prophecy to Israel very shortly after she entered the promised land, in Leviticus 26. Though it's presented in the form of a choice ("Do right, and I will bless you; do wrong and I will curse you,") the details of the curse are so exactly what happens it's hard to imagine God doesn't know. (See Deuteronomy 31:16-18 for further confirmation of this).
God clearly knew in advance that Israel would not be faithful to him. And he clearly saw that decision as having moral value--the entire old testament is filled with his struggling and pleading with Israel.
Perhaps the most flagrant example of this is found in the story of the exodus. Moses is attempting to rescue the Jews from slavery in Egypt with God's help; the pharoah of Egpyt doesn't want to let them go. Nine times, Moses comes to Pharoah and demands in the name of God that the people be let go; nine times, Pharoah refuses. Nine times, God sends a plague on Egypt that is eventually so intolerable that Pharoah promises to let the people go if only the plague will stop. Nine times, the plague subsides, and nine times, Pharoah's heart is hardened and he refuses to let the people go.
The interesting bit is that sometimes the text says "God hardened Pharoah's heart," sometimes it says, "Pharoah hardened his heart," and sometimes it just says "Pharoah's heart was hardened." There's no evident distinction in the usage--sometimes it's one, sometimes it's the other, and God judges pharoah the same each time. Even more flagrantly, God tells Moses before he is even sent to Egypt, "I will harden Pharoah's heart that I may multiply my signs and my wonders in Egpyt." (Exodus 7:3).
So, was God judging Pharoah unfairly--or were Pharoah's decisions real, even though God was causing them?
I am fairly sure the latter is what the text teaches. Here is my opinion.
From a secular philosophical point of view, I think people have things all backwards. Some people think that for choices to be "real" or to have any "meaning" they have to be in some sense random. It has to be something that can't be known in advance. Some people think that if choices are fixed, they are "chosen for you," and consequently have no moral value. I think this is exactly backwards.
I think you make your choices based on your character--you choose what you do based on who you are, and placed in the exact same situation you would always choose the same way. This is in fact a reassuring thing--
it is the very fact that our characters determine our choices that gives our choices value. Things are genrally random when they have no meaning; things that have meaning are deterministic.
This solves the philosophical puzzle for me neatly: choices can be foreknown without damaging their moral value if they are determined by character. "Who you are" is the truly morally relevant component of "what you do"--that is, your choices are moral or not inasmuch as they demonstrate *you* to be a moral person or not.
(Curiously, I follow the second Matrix movie very closely here--the Oracle has a line that sums things up well. Referring to a choice about to be made, she comments, "You've already made the choice; you're just finding out why." A convoluted way to say it, but essentially what I think.)
I don't hold the view for purely philosophical reasons--it was in fact theology that forced me to it, and upon reflection it seems to me to be what makes most sense of scripture. Paul seems to describe my view very well when he writes in Romans 9:15-23,
... [As God] says to Moses, "I will have mercy on whom I have mercy, and I will have compassion on whom I have compassion." So then, it does not depend on the man who wills or the man who runs, but on God who has mercy.
For the scripture says to Pharoah, "For this very purpose I raised you up, to demonstrate my power in you, and that my name might be proclaimed throughout the whole earth." So then He has mercy on whom He desires, and He hardens whom He desires.
You will say to me then, "Why does he still find fault? For who resists His will?"
On the contrary, who are you, O man, who answers back to God? The thing moulded will not say back to the moulder, "Why did you make me like this," will it? Or does not the potter have a right over the clay, to make from the same lump one vessel for honorable use and another for dishonorable use? What if God, although willing to demonstrate his wrath and make his power known, endured with much patience vessels of wrath prepared for destruction, and he did so in order that he might make known the riches of His glory upon vessels of mercy, which He prepared beforehand for glory?
It's kind of convoluted language, but the upshot of it is that God *made* you who you are, whether you're good or evil, and ultimately (enter my reasoning) it's who you are that determines how you choose. So then, God has mercy on who he will, but your choice to follow him is still real. God knows in advance who will follow him, but it isn't arbitrary. Like an author makes villians to kill and heroes to reward, God fashions people for heaven or hell. Yet their choices are real and their characters have value and they will be justly judged; and everything will work out to his glory, either in demonstrating mercy or executing justice.
This is one of those mind-boggling things. Even after many years of thinking about it, it's hard to get your brain around. I understand the logic, but it seems so paradoxical. History is God's plan, his sovereign plan and story--and we are making it with him. We are saved completely by grace, as a result of what God does for us--scratch that, we're
made completely by grace: he creates us and shapes us and though we're conscious and participating and really there, somehow everything turns out to be him in the end.
Mind-boggling and awesome, which is the norm rather than the exception for theology. The divine's just like that.
[P.S., I know that was long, Cops, but if I find out you skimmed and mostly read my first sentence and this one... I won't be happy.
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